Fun fun, the Times Square attempted bomber is a Pakistani. Forums are alight with glee from right wing posters. That people are actually excited and thrilled that it was a non-white, non-Timothy-McVeigh, non-teabagger is disturbing.
Why would you be happy about anything having to do with this lunatic?
Is the joy because this helps justify the hatred these people have for anyone of Middle Eastern descent? Is it simply that they need clear “bad guys” and fail to understand that terrorism will never give them that?
To put on my Carnack hat and try to foretell the future using these vox populi vomitings as a base, expect the US in the next decades to:
1) See states rights challenges result in state-base immigration and naturalization enforcement involvement. Expect harassment to cause some legal residents to flee to other states/countries.
2) Expect crime rates – especially drug-related and terrorism – to rise. Race-based crime, usually targeting minorities, increases.
3) See the US, with an ever-more-conservative Congress following elections, push to dismantle civil liberties and due process for anyone not native-born (and suitably white)
4) See a frustrated US invade Iran to “stop its nuclear program” and discover their program was at best laughable. Nevertheless, somewhere near 150,000 will be dead. (This one might be wrong - it’s just possible they have a low-yield Hiroshima-quality program)
5) Simultaneously, watch the US become isolationist, damaging its economy as international partners step back.
6) Watch other NATO members and much of the UN divorce itself from US policy. Watch the US be more and more marginalized in international affairs. As it becomes marginalized, expect it to use military operations to attempt to control areas of the world that should have been dealt with through diplomacy
7) In 50 years, the US will either reverse course and realize it has to be a member of a culture of internationalized nations, or it will fracture into hillbilly Balkans lookalike nation-states filled with meth and AK-47s, and a few progressive countries that will seek trading partners in Asia and Europe, and turn their back on their neighbors, except to buy pork and corn.
And yes, that’s hyperbole, but there’s a central truth to it that’s terrifying.
And this pinhead is the sort of "bad Arab" that makes even rationalists such as myself have vague war-porn dreams of the B-52s turning the Fertile Crescent into a glassy, glowing wasteland. (Yes, and Pakistan, too) - so imagine the traction this will get with the militant right.
On the plus side, if this is the best the Pashtun area (home to OBL) can offer, then the world has cut at least one ball off Al-Queda. They're still dangerous, obviously, but their sophistication would seem (and it's merely that; seem) to be reduced.
Followup –
Here’s a question – given that terrorists world-wide work through stealth and assassination, why is it that nations don’t respond in kind?
It’s not easy or quick to get agents in place, but intelligence, combined with operatives on the ground bombing, stabbing and sniping, would seem more likely to be able to remove the heads of organizations and their immediate planning staffs than banging off a Hellfire from a Predator drone at a mud-brick farmhouse that might or might not have a VIP in it.
Are nations doing that, I wonder? Russia in Chechnya; the US in the Middle East; Indonesia throughout the archipelago?
I suppose we wouldn’t hear about it if they were. One can just hope they’re doing so.
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